Wednesday 28 October 2015

MCX TIPS - GOLD MARKET UPDATE

Gold settled up by 0.05% at 26823 traded in the range while cautious trade seen as investors await the start of the FOMC's two-day October meeting beginning on Tuesday. Investors were hesitant to make any major moves in Monday's session ahead of the FOMC's monetary policy meeting later this week. While the FOMC has hinted that it will likely hold short-term interest rates at its current near-zero level at the meeting, Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen has still not ruled out a possible rate hike. The FOMC has left its benchmark Federal Funds Rate at its current level between zero and 0.25% for 55 consecutive meetings.

Gold may drop as USD Soars ahead of FOMC
Last week Gold prices dropped as strength in the greenback alongside hints for more easing out of the ECB and an interest rate in China, Fueled a volatile session for bullion heading into the close of the week. Although prices may have further downside to go near-term, the broader outlook remains constructive above a key support threshold just lower. The European Central Bank rate decision last week fueled a massive sell-off in euro crosses after President Mario Draghi cited willingness to further expand easing measures as growing concerns over deteriorating conditions in emerging markets & finical market volatility continue to threaten the recovery in Europe. Just one day later, PBoC cut interest rates by 25 basis points and lowered the RRR by 50 basis points. The surprise move suggests that officials continue to see downside risks for the world’s second largest economy – a topic now mentioned by both the ECB & the Fed.
Govt likely to launch 3 gold schemes on November 5 :
The central government is planning a big-bang launch of three schemes to satisfy the need for investing in gold. The schemes are likely to be launched on November 5, a week before Diwali. A final decision on launch date and guidelines for bonds and the interest rate payable are in the final stage.
The first is a gold monetisation scheme, where consumers will be invited to offer idle gold or jewellery for deposits with banks. The Reserve Bank has issued guidelines and the government has notified it. Ketan Shroff, spokesperson of the Indian Bullion and Jewellers Association, said: “We support the GMS and will advise our clients to earn interest on gold and jewellery lying idle with them.” Another scheme being launched will be gold coins with the Ashok Chakra embossed.
The government’s Mumbai mint has already manufactured and kept ready 20,000 coins of five grammes each and 30,000 of 10g each, for distribution to banks and post offices, which will be selling these from the launch date. It is understood that gold seized by various government agencies might have been used to manufacture these. Another scheme is of gold bonds, investing cash without actually buying gold.
* GLD ETF:
Over the weekly reporting time-frame, from Tuesday October 13th to Tuesday October 20th, the price of the (N:GLD) Gold ETF, which tracks the gold spot price, rose from approximately $111.86 to $112.73, according to ETF price data of the SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD).
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